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Hurricane Tracking FAIL

September 4, 2008 | Comments Off on Hurricane Tracking FAIL

XTRP is one of the models used for Hurricane tracking.  While I agree projecting a hurricane’s future path is complicated, it seems like XTRP has thrown in the towel and just started drawing a line up and to the left.  (XTRP is the model with the black triangles and dotted lines).

Most recent models for Hannah:

Hannah Models

Most recent models for Ike:

Ike Models

Doing some further research it appears that XTRP is just the Hurricane’s most recent movements projected forward. In other words, a very simple model that takes no future variables into account.

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