XTRP is one of the models used for Hurricane tracking. While I agree projecting a hurricane’s future path is complicated, it seems like XTRP has thrown in the towel and just started drawing a line up and to the left. (XTRP is the model with the black triangles and dotted lines).
Most recent models for Hannah:
Most recent models for Ike:
Doing some further research it appears that XTRP is just the Hurricane’s most recent movements projected forward. In other words, a very simple model that takes no future variables into account.
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